Union Bremen vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
11º
5º
24
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
OSC
35%
21%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
UNI
74%
14%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SGA
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
TSS
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
11 - 0
TKA
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
BLU
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |