Union Bremen vs TuRa Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
33
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WER
7 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 7
SGA
23%
20%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
TuRa Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRB
3 - 2
OSC
17%
17%
66%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 4
TRB
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TRB
1 - 3
VAT
51%
20%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TRB
2 - 9
SVH
15%
16%
69%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 4
TRB
49%
20%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |