Union Bremen vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
5º
17
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 5
GEE
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 2
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
EHB
64%
18%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 4
UNI
30%
21%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 4
BRI
55%
19%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WER
1 - 3
SGA
39%
20%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 3
HAB
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OSC
3 - 1
SGA
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 3
VAT
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
2 - 1
SGA
38%
21%
41%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |