Union Bremen vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAT
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
HAB
19%
20%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
BRE
5%
10%
85%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
UNI
8 - 1
TUR
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 2
BRI
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BLU
1 - 0
SGA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 1
VFL
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GEE
2 - 1
SGA
12%
16%
73%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 2
WER
56%
20%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |