Union Bremen vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
11º
5º
36
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAT
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
WER
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEE
1 - 2
UNI
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
LEH
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
SCH
81%
11%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
TSS
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
4 - 4
SCH
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
BLU
60%
18%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |