Union Bremen vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
44.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
11º
5º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
UNI
74%
14%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SGA
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
BWB
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OSC
2 - 4
LEH
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 3
OSC
53%
19%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 0
TSS
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
OSC
52%
19%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 0
BLU
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |