Union Bremen vs Brinkumer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
32
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 5
SVH
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BLU
4 - 1
UNI
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
LEH
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 3
OSC
16%
17%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
2 - 2
BRI
41%
20%
39%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
BRI
58%
18%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
VAT
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GEE
7 - 0
BRI
46%
20%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |