Union Bremen vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
7º
26
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 3
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
UNI
34%
21%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
HAB
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
VAT
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 2
WER
63%
17%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAB
2 - 2
BLU
27%
20%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 4
OSC
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 9
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 86 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 2
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |