Union Bremen vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
42
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 2
UNI
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAB
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
TRB
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WER
7 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
OBE
18%
17%
66%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 2
OSC
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 2
BLU
70%
16%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
BLU
29%
20%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 2
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 2
BLU
85%
10%
6%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |