Arzignano Valchiampo vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 0
UAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
UAR
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UAR
1 - 0
SAM
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UAR
4 - 0
RAV
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
UAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
VIN
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 2
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEL
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |