Arzignano Valchiampo vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RAV
0 - 0
UAR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 1
VIR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
IMO
4 - 3
UAR
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UAR
3 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEL
0 - 0
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |