Union de Aravaca vs Puerta de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
UAR
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UAR
5 - 1
MZZ
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 3
UAR
5%
11%
85%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UAR
8 - 2
TRS
94%
4%
1%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AUP
4 - 1
UAR
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Puerta de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PDM
1 - 3
FTC
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AGR
3 - 3
PDM
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PDM
1 - 5
FTC
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
PDM
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PDM
5 - 0
VPB
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |