Unión Adarve vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
ADA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ADA
1 - 0
CDM
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
ADA
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 1
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 1
ADA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 2
EIB
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SDA
1 - 3
LUG
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MIR
3 - 2
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |