Union 05 vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ERP
0 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
FFN
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USM
4 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
USM
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
YBD
0 - 2
USM
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USM
1 - 2
OBE
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
USM
2 - 2
VIC
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |