Union 05 vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CSP
1 - 0
UNI
29%
26%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CSM
1 - 2
UNI
21%
23%
55%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JEU
1 - 5
UNI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ERP
1 - 3
RUM
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ERP
2 - 6
VIC
26%
22%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ERP
4 - 0
FCR
46%
23%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
USH
3 - 2
ERP
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UNA
1 - 1
ERP
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |