Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 2-11
Unidos de Lisboa vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unidos de Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
SCP
8 - 1
LIS
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1941 |
UNM
0 - 2
LIS
81%
12%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1941 |
LIS
3 - 0
UNM
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +3 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
OPE
2 - 7
LIS
19%
21%
61%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
LIS
7 - 1
OPE
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
SCP
8 - 1
LIS
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
SCP
12 - 0
VIT
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SCP
4 - 1
SEI
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
SEI
1 - 3
SCP
32%
21%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |