Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 7-5
Unidos de Lisboa vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
58.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unidos de Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
3 - 3
ACA
21%
20%
60%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
LIS
1 - 3
SCP
16%
17%
67%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
SCP
8 - 1
LIS
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1941 |
UNM
0 - 2
LIS
81%
12%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1941 |
LIS
3 - 0
UNM
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
3 - 3
ACA
21%
20%
60%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 3
ACA
50%
20%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
21%
45%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
40%
21%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |