Atlético Cearense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 4
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ABC
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ARN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
SOU
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOU
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |