Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 1-1
Atlético Cearense vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 4
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ABC
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ARN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 0
SDJ
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
RFC
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |