Atlético Cearense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FER
4 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
5 - 1
IGU
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
2 - 2
FFL
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |