Atlético Cearense vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
ICA
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 1
AME
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
ITA
80%
15%
6%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |