Atlético Cearense vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 1
AME
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
2 - 1
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ICA
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 1
ICA
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |