Atlético Cearense vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
54%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
CAU
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAU
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
54%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CAU
0 - 1
HOR
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |