Atlético Cearense vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
BPA
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALT
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
HOR
27%
22%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |