Atlético Cearense vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
FLO
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
UNI
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 4
ATL
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLO
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |