Atlético Cearense vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLO
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
FER
2 - 3
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 6
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
17%
21%
62%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 4
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -3 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |