Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Atlético Cearense vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |