Atlético Cearense vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
TIR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |