Cearense 1 Final
Global 1-5
Atlético Cearense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
IMP
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |