Atlético Cearense vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
NAU
4 - 0
UNI
84%
12%
3%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 4
TIR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
NOV
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |