Atlético Cearense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 4
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
5 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEA
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
CAU
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
OES
1 - 1
CEA
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |