Atlético Cearense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
5%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
UNI
87%
11%
3%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
CEA
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
CEA
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |