Atlético Cearense vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
CEA
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |