Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-4
Atlético Cearense vs Bragantino PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALT
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
BPA
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 2
FLO
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |