Uniautónoma vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
TOL
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FOR
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
JUN
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SFE
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 1
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |