Uniautónoma vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAS
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
RIO
5 - 3
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOR
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |