Uniautónoma vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 2
UNI
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
ACA
30%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COR
3 - 3
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |