Uniao Tomar vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
UFT
1 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
UFT
0 - 3
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
BOA
2 - 0
UFT
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
UFT
0 - 0
FAB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 0
ACA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 3
VST
19%
27%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VST
7 - 1
SPB
84%
12%
5%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1970 |
HER
1 - 0
VST
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
VST
2 - 1
BOA
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |