Uniao Tomar vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UFT
2 - 0
ATL
56%
22%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 1
UFT
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 0
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 3
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |