Uniao Tomar vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
UFT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
UFT
2 - 1
SCP
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
BEL
2 - 2
UFT
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
UFT
1 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 0
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 5
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VIT
0 - 0
LEX
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 3
VST
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |