Uniao Tomar vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FAB
0 - 0
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 4
SPB
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
3 - 1
BEL
35%
30%
36%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
UFT
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |