Uniao Tomar vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
UFT
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |