Uniao Tomar vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
UFT
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
0 - 6
BEL
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
UFT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 1
SCP
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
COI
3 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
SCP
0 - 3
FCP
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |