Uniao Tomar vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 0
UFT
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
0 - 2
SLB
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
6 - 1
UFT
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 0
UFT
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
FAR
81%
13%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |