Uniao Tomar vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VST
4 - 0
UFT
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
UFT
3 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
UFT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
UFT
2 - 1
SCP
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
BEL
2 - 2
UFT
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAB
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 0
SCP
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 1
FAB
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LEX
2 - 1
FAB
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |