Uniao Tomar vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BOA
6 - 1
UFT
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
UFT
1 - 1
LEX
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
5 - 2
UFT
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
UFT
0 - 0
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ATL
2 - 1
UFT
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
VIT
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCP
16%
27%
57%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |