Uniao Tomar vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
UFT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 1
SCP
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
COI
3 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BMA
2 - 0
UFT
52%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
UFT
2 - 4
BOA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 5
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
20%
27%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |