Uniao Tomar vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SAN
4 - 1
UFT
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
UFT
1 - 1
FAB
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VST
4 - 0
UFT
73%
15%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
UFT
3 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
UFT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
4 - 3
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 0
LYO
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ACA
4 - 2
ATL
85%
10%
4%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |