União São João vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GDS
0 - 2
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAT
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
RIO
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
XVD
4 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
GDS
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 0
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
XVD
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GDS
0 - 1
XVD
10%
17%
72%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
XVD
4 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
XVD
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |