União São João vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
VOT
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 4
UNI
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
CAB
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
BAN
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
DES
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |